Trade optimism offsets US inventory as oil settles above $64

on Nov 28, 2019
Updated: Jun 1, 2022
  • Oil steadies above $64 as trade hopes offset US inventories
  • Crude oil losses are down following news of a soon-to-be-reached trade deal between China and the US
  • OPEC+ and its affiliates came to an agreement to cut supply to boost oil prices

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A recent industry report showed that the US Crude Oil inventories had been boosted by a pending US-China trade deal that may bring to end months of standoffs between the two states. Following reports of growing inventories, the oil price stabilized above $64 on Wednesday.

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At the same time, gasoline stocks jumped as production reached a record high.

The U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude shed 30% to reach $58.11 a barrel while Brent crude futures were down 21% to $64.06 a barrel.

Last week, the Energy Information Administration said that the US crude production increased by 1.6 million barrels to a record high of 12.9 million barrels per day. The increase defied analysts’ projection of 418,000 barrels.

US gasoline dipped 3.635%, or between 2.1% to $1.67 per gallon.

“EIA’s estimate of a further increase in crude production to a record pace of 12.9 (million BPD) appeared to provide a significant catalyst behind today’s selling,” the president of trading advisory firm Ritterbusch and Associates Jim Ritterbusch, stated in a note. “The RBOB (gasoline) futures provided a drag on the rest of the complex as a result of a much larger-than-expected gasoline stock build.”

Oil losses trimmed following reports of a reduction in the number of drilling rigs 12 months in a row.

The total number of oil rigs was reduced to 668 last week after shading three, the lowest in 2 years, according to energy services firm Baker Hughes Co BRK.N.

Away from the US-China trade deal optimism, the pending Washington and Hong Kong deal also pared oil losses.

The possible end of a 16-month trade war between China and the US triggered a jump in oil prices as hopes continued to rise between the two world’s biggest consumers of oil products.

“Trade deal optimism persists,” Tamas Varga of oil broker PVM said. “The belief in a positive trade deal continues unabated.”

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its affiliated countries including Russia’s planned hoarding of supply is also expected to continue boosting oil prices.

OPEC+, which is made up of oil-producing states, will be having their next stakeholder meeting between Dec. 5-6 in Vienna where they’ll be discussing among other issues, the need to extend their supply reduction consensus into next year.


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