Hvorfor sliter XRP med å bryte gjennom kritisk motstandssone ved $1.46?

XRP handles nær $1.46 etter en oppgang på 2.8% de siste 24 timene, og overgår Bitcoin i en periode hvor det brede kryptomarkedet stort sett har vært flatt.

Det nylige rykket har plassert XRP i en kritisk teknisk sone, der bullish momentum testes mot en sterk motstandsrekke mellom $1.44 og $1.46.

De siste månedene har XRP steget 7.9%, støttet av økende institusjonell interesse, sterkere ETF-innstrømninger og fornyet regulatorisk optimisme.

Sist uke alene registrerte XRP spot-exchange-traded funds nettoinnstrømninger på $34.21 millioner, et tydelig tegn på at institusjonell kapital aktivt posisjonerer seg rundt eiendelen.

Til tross for disse bullish driverne antyder kortsiktige tekniske indikatorer at rallen kan miste tempo, mens tradere følger nøye med etter neste katalysator.

Resistance at $1.46 remains a major barrier

XRP’s repeated attempts to break above the $1.44–$1.46 range have so far failed, making this area one of the most important technical barriers in the current structure.

Crypto analyst Samz Crypto noted that this price zone has historically acted as a supply region, where selling pressure consistently interrupts upward momentum.

According to his recent technical breakdown on CoinMarketCap, the Bull Bear Power indicator has turned negative again, with expanding red histogram bars below the zero line.

This suggests bears currently hold more influence over short-term price action.

At the same time, XRP’s Relative Strength Index has cooled considerably.

After previously pushing above 60 during the recent rally, RSI has now dropped to around 57 on shorter-term charts, signalling that bullish momentum has weakened, although the altcoin still has room to move higher before entering the overbought region.

The combination of weakening short-term momentum and neutral broader strength leaves XRP at an important crossroads.

Institutional developments continue to support price

While technical resistance remains firm, XRP’s recent gains have not been driven by speculation alone.

A major institutional catalyst emerged after a tokenised US Treasury settlement pilot involving Ondo Finance, JPMorgan, Mastercard, and Ripple demonstrated the XRP Ledger’s potential use in institutional finance infrastructure.

The pilot highlighted XRP Ledger’s growing relevance in tokenised asset settlement and cross-border financial systems.

This development added credibility to XRP’s long-term use case and helped fuel investor confidence.

Regulatory expectations are also contributing to market sentiment amid the upcoming US Senate Banking Committee markup of the CLARITY Act on May 14, which could offer greater legal clarity for digital assets.

This event is widely viewed as a near-term trigger that could influence XRP’s next directional move.

Technical outlook shows mixed momentum

From a moving average perspective, XRP has shown measurable improvement.

The cryptocurrency has reclaimed its 10-day, 20-day, and 50-day exponential moving averages (EMAs), signalling improving short-term trend strength.

However, XRP remains below its 100-day and 200-day EMAs, which means long-term macro pressure still caps broader upside.

If XRP can hold support above $1.43 and reclaim strength above $1.46, traders are watching for upside targets near $1.50, followed by $1.53.

Fibonacci extension levels also place additional upside potential in the $1.56–$1.60 range.

On the downside, a failure to hold above $1.43 could open the door to a pullback toward $1.40, with analysts hinting at deeper support around $1.38.

Historical cycles suggest patience may still be required

XRP has historically experienced long consolidation phases between major bull cycles.

After reaching an early peak of $0.0614 in December 2013, XRP fell sharply before eventually establishing a new long-term high years later.

These extended recovery patterns have become part of XRP’s broader market behaviour.

Currently, XRP remains about 60% below its all-time high of $3.65 reached in July 2025, suggesting substantial recovery ground still exists despite recent gains.

For now, XRP’s price action remains balanced between strong institutional and regulatory catalysts on one side and cooling technical momentum on the other.

The coming days, particularly around the May 14 regulatory event, may determine whether XRP can finally clear resistance and extend its recovery, or whether sellers will force another retracement.