BitMine-osake: Tom Leen Ethereum-veikkaus kääntyy tappioksi

BitMine-osake: Tom Leen Ethereum-veikkaus kääntyy tappioksi
Crispus Nyaga
18.6.2026, 17:31 IP.

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BMNR – lyhyt positio

Myy BitMine (BMNR). Teesi on yksinkertainen: BMNR on vivutettu positio ETH:iin, ja artikkeli osoittaa ETH:n heikkouden sekä realisoitumattomien tappioiden kasvun raskaan äskettäisen ETH-ostamisen seurauksena. Koska ETH on keskeisten viikkotukien alapuolella ja maksu-/DeFi-momentum romahtaa (fees $87M vs $9.9B in 2021; TVL down to ~$37B), BMNR:n omaisuusarvo ja sijoittajasentimentti pysyvät paineen alaisina. Osake on jo pudonnut voimakkaasti ja kohtaa edelleen laskupainetta kohti ~$15 ja sen jälkeen ~$10.

Keskeinen riski: ETH:n jyrkkä nousu ja keskeisten teknisten tasojen takaisinvaltaus voivat kääntää BMNR:n realisoitumattomat tappiot voitoiksi ja pakottaa nopeaan riskinpurkuun.

ETH – lyhyt positio

Myy Ethereum (ETH). Artikkelin setup on kauttaaltaan laskusuuntainen: ETH on 50 viikon liukuvan keskiarvon alapuolella, rikkoutunut $1,733 tukitason alle ja tähtää noin ~$1,500 tasolle. Verkon aktiivisuus ja DeFi-veto heikkenevät (aktiiviset osoitteet ~435k; TVL romahti; maksut huomattavasti pienemmät), joten nousuja todennäköisesti myydään, kunnes nämä mittarit vakautuvat.

Keskeinen riski: Kestävä ETH-katalysaattori (merkittävä protokolla-, ETF- tai käyttöön liittyvä nousu) kääntää trendin ja pitää ETH:n yli $1,733/$1,500, mikä kumoaa murtumapolun.

  • BitMine-osake teki äskettäin laskusuuntaisen murtuman keskeisen tukitason alapuolelle.
  • Ethereumin hinta on laskenut tänä vuonna, ja tekniset indikaattorit viittaavat lisätappioihin.
  • Tekninen analyysi viittaa myös siihen, että BMNR-osake saattaa laskea alle $15.

BitMine stock price has crashed this year as Tom Lee’s Ethereum bet backfires. BMNR dropped to $15.70 on Wednesday, down substantially from last year’s high of $160. This retreat may continue as Cathie Wood pares back her holdings and as the Ethereum price remains under pressure.

BitMine-osake on laskenut kasvavien realisoitumattomien tappioiden keskellä

Tom Lee’s BitMine stock has plunged by 53% this year, lagging behind the broader market as top indices like the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 have soared to their record highs.

The retreat happened as Ethereum, its main asset, retreated by 15% this year amid the broader crypto market weakness. Also, it happened as the company continued issuing new shares to buy these coins.

BitMine has bought over 342k Ethereum coins in the last 30 days, bringing its total amount to 5.62 million. This means that the company will likely cross the crucial 6 million milestone in July or early August.

BitMine’s unrealized losses have continued rising this year. In its recent statement, the company said that it had suffered a loss of close to $10 billion as Ethereum slumped from last year’s high of $4,950 to $1,735 today. This explains why Cathie Wood, one of its earliest backers, has started selling shares at a loss.

Ethereumin tekniset ja fundamentaaliset näkymät ovat heikentyneet

BitMine believes that Ethereum is one of the best assets in the crypto industry because of its large market share in key areas like stablecoins, decentralized finance, and real-world asset tokenization. 

Its long track record of stability and decentralization has made it the chain of choice among developers and companies launching new projects on-chain.

However, third-party data shows that its business is deteriorating this year. The most important metric is that its network has generated just $87 million in fees this year, down from $9.9 billion in 2021. Ethereum is now being beaten by top players like Tron and Hyperliquid in this metric.

More data shows that Ethereum is losing momentum. For example, the total value locked (TVL) in its decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem has tumbled from over $90 billion last year to $37 billion today. Aave, its biggest protocol, came on the verge of collapsing after the recent KelpDAO hack.

Ethereum has also lost momentum among users. Its active addresses dropped to 435k from a record high of 6.12 million in 2021.

Ethereumin aktiiviset osoitteet

Ethereumin aktiiviset osoitteet ovat romahtaneet | Lähde: DeFi Llama

Technicals also show that Ethereum is at risk of further weakness. On the weekly chart, it has slumped below the 50-week moving average. It has also slumped below the key support of $1,733, its lowest level in February. It is also attempting to drop below the 78.2% retracement level.

Ethereum-hinta

ETH-hintakaavio | Lähde: TradingView

Therefore, the path of the least resistance for ETH is bearish, with the next key target to watch being at $1,500. Such a drop will reduce the value of BitMine’s assets from the current $9.7 billion to $8.4 billion.

BMNR-osakkeen kurssianalyysi

BMNR-osake

BMNR-kurssikaavio | Lähde: TradingView

The daily chart shows that Ethereum price has made a bearish breakout in the past few days. It moved below the key support of $17.55, the lower side of the horizontal channel that formed between February and June.

The stock has also retested the lower side of the range. It also remains below the 50-day moving average. Therefore, there is a risk that it will continue falling in the near term, potentially to the key support levels of $15, followed by $10.