Czy cena TRUMP się załamie, gdy portfele zespołu spieniężą $3.39M?

Cena tokena Official Trump spadła more than 8% over the past 24 hours to around $2.27 po tym, jak portfele powiązane z zespołem zamieniły tokeny TRUMP o wartości millions of dollars' worth of TRUMP into USDC na USDC, osłabiając rajd, który still left the token up 61% over the past week.

According to on-chain analyst Lookonchain, wallets linked to the Official Trump team collected 3.39 million USDC over a 10-hour period through liquidity operations on Solana. 

Zamiast składać duże zlecenie sprzedaży na rynku, portfele dostarczyły TRUMP do pozycji płynnościowych, które zamieniały tokeny na USDC, gdy kupujący przechodzili przez określone zakresy cenowe. Powstałe USDC zostało następnie withdrawn.

Presja sprzedaży has since caught up with TRUMP. Dane CoinGecko pokazały, że token handlował się around $2.27 on Aug. 26, down more than 8% over 24 hours, after falling from around $2.46 to an intraday low near $2.16. 

Cena recovered from that low, but pozostaje well below levels reached during the latest rally.

The liquidity activity followed other movements involving team-linked wallets. Bitcoin.com, citing on-chain data, reported that around 646,000 TRUMP were transferred to OKX in two transactions, while another transfer involved 2.62 million tokens worth around $6.2 million at the time.

Wpłaty na giełdy nie potwierdzają, że tokeny zostały sprzedane, but the transactions have added another source of potential supply after TRUMP's rapid rise.

At the same time, the size of the recent rally has left holders sitting on substantial short-term gains. 

Mimo ostatniego spadku, TRUMP remains up around 61% over seven days and nearly 52% over two weeks, co sprawia, że realizacja zysków jest kolejnym źródłem podaży po wzroście tokena from around $1.40 last week.

Aktywność handlowa również spadła from the levels recorded during the rally. Przy mniejszej liczbie kupujących absorbujących dostępną podaż, kombinacja realizacji zysków i dystrybucji związanej z zespołem wywarła presję na token, który had risen rapidly in a matter of days.

Supply remains another factor. Tokenomics.com shows that TRUMP's vesting programme continues through December 2027, with 16 of 34 scheduled unlock events still remaining. 

The next release is scheduled for Sept. 18 and involves 28.7 million TRUMP, equal to 2.9% of total supply, with the tokens allocated to insiders.

To odblokowanie is not part of the circulating supply entering the market on Aug. 26, but it leaves traders facing another sizeable release less than a month after the latest sell-off.

Ruch cenowy TRUMP

Na wykresie dziennym TRUMP nadal handluje się above three important exponential moving averages despite its sharp pullback. 

At $2.27, price remains above the 20-day EMA at $1.86, the 50-day EMA at $1.73, and the 100-day EMA at $1.89.

See below:

TRUMP/USDT 1-day price chart. Source: TradingView.

Jednakże ostatni rajd failed to establish price above the 200-day EMA at $2.71. 

TRUMP briefly broke through the long-term average during the surge towards $3 before sellers pushed it back below the level, making the $2.70-$2.71 region the first major resistance if buyers regain control.

Dzienny momentum has also started to weaken. The Stochastic RSI shows its faster line at around 67 while the slower line remains near 80, after both recently reached overbought territory. 

Niedźwiedzie przecięcie oznacza, że impet osłabł w miarę realizacji zysków przez traderów, chociaż wskaźnik nie przeszedł jeszcze into oversold territory.

Krótsze interwały pokazują stronger selling pressure. Na wykresie 4-godzinnym Williams %R spadł do around -75 after approaching oversold territory during the decline. 

TRUMP/USDT 4-hour price chart. Source: TradingView.

A move below -80 would place the indicator inside its conventional oversold zone, while a recovery towards -50 would provide an early sign that short-term buying momentum is returning.

Wskaźnik Aroon jest bardziej niedźwiedzi. Aroon Down stands near 93% while Aroon Up has dropped to zero, pokazując, że recent lows are much newer than recent highs i że sprzedający nadal kontrolują trend 4-godzinny.

Cena has so far found buyers around $2.16-$2.20, making this the first support zone to watch. 

Decydujące przebicie poniżej niej could expose the psychological $2 level before the daily EMA cluster around $1.89-$1.86 comes into play.

A deeper sell-off towards that EMA zone would still leave TRUMP above its 50-day EMA near $1.73. 

Losing $1.86 followed by $1.73 would weaken the daily structure considerably and increase the risk that the recent rally is unwound further.

For buyers, reclaiming $2.40-$2.50 would be the first sign that the current decline is losing strength. 

The larger test sits around the 200-day EMA at $2.71, followed by the recent resistance zone around $2.95-$3.10.

The current indicators therefore do not confirm a full price crash yet. 

Trend 4-godzinny remains under pressure, but TRUMP continues to trade above its main short- and medium-term daily EMAs. 

A break below $2.16 would increase downside risk towards $2 and $1.86, while holding the current support and recovering above $2.50 would put the $2.71 resistance back in play.