Bitcoin stalls near $75K amid profit-taking: is breakout still possible?

The cryptocurrency market has been stable over the past few hours, with no significant price movement among the leading cryptocurrencies.

Bitcoin has stabilized around the $75,000 area after rejecting the $76,132 resistance level earlier this week. The leading cryptocurrency could rally higher in the near term as demand remains stable. 

Bitcoin shows signs of stabilization

Glassnode revealed in its report on Wednesday that Bitcoin is beginning to show signs of stabilization after a prolonged period of losses. However, the report added that the recovery remains fragile and lacks strong participation.

Bitcoin is currently trading at $74,900, 5% below the True Market Mean at $78,100, a key resistance level that represents the average cost basis of active on-chain supply.

Glassnode noted that the current stall in Bitcoin’s price movement can be attributed to increased profit-taking. 

The 30-day Exponential Moving Average of the Realized Profit/Loss Ratio has risen to 1.16, indicating that more investors are selling into recent price strength.

The report revealed that only 43.2% of Short-Term Holder (STH) supply is currently in profit, below the historical average of 54.2% observed at local peaks during bear-market rallies.

This indicates that there may be room for further gains before the market experiences selling pressure. 

Institutional demand for Bitcoin has turned positive over the past few weeks, while open interest on CME Group futures has begun to recover from recent lows. 

However, both indicators remain well below levels seen during previous periods of strong risk appetite, suggesting that capital is re-entering the market cautiously rather than aggressively.

Glassnode further pointed out that liquidity conditions are the primary movers of Bitcoin’s price action. Data obtained from Hyperliquid reveals a concentration of long liquidations between $63,000 and $65,000, while short liquidations are clustered around $74,000 to $76,000.

Derivatives data show that retail demand in the market has been increasing in recent days. CoinGlass’s futures Open Interest (OI) for Bitcoin now reads $56.95 billion, up by 11% from the $51 billion recorded on Wednesday. 

However, the OI-weighted funded rate has flipped negative and now reads -0.0056%. The funding rate flipping negative means that the bears are slowly regaining control of the market. 

Additional derivatives indicators reinforce the cautious outlook. Implied volatility has declined, with one-month implied volatility near 42.6%, reflecting calmer market conditions after recent turbulence. 

Bitcoin technical outlook: Bulls face resistance at $76,132

The BTC/USD 4-hour chart remains bearish and efficient. Bitcoin is looking to retest the resistance level above $76,000, but could face further selling pressure in the near term.

The momentum indicators suggest the bullish narrative may be fading. The RSI of 63 is above the neutral 50, but has dropped from the overbought 74 recorded earlier this week.

The MACD lines are also above the zero line, indicating a stabilizing bullish condition. If buying pressure resumes, BTC could surpass the $76,132 resistance level and rally towards the $79,395 daily swing high.

However, if the market undergoes a correction, Bitcoin could encounter its first major resistance at the Wednesday low of $73,395, with another floor at $70,441.