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Micron briefly overtakes Meta, Tesla on AI chip demand surge

Micron briefly overtakes Meta, Tesla on AI chip demand surge
Ananthu C U
Jun 25, 2026, 10:11 A.M.

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Micron (MU)

Buy MU. The news shows a structural AI-driven memory shortage lasting beyond 2027, with $22B customer commitments, 16 long-term supply agreements, and very strong margins (85% gross, 81% operating) plus $18B free cash flow. That combination supports a rerating from “cyclical memory” to “high-visibility AI infrastructure supplier.” Key risk: AI memory demand cools faster than expected (or customers cancel/renegotiate supply commitments), causing margins to mean-revert and the stock’s rerating to unwind.

Key Risk: AI memory demand cools faster than expected, forcing margins back down and killing the rerating.

Nvidia (NVDA)

Buy NVDA. Second-order effect: Micron’s AI memory visibility implies data-center buildouts are accelerating and staying funded, which increases the need for the full AI stack—especially GPUs and networking that drive those systems. MU strength is a “system demand” signal, not just a memory story, so NVDA benefits through higher AI server deployments and longer platform spending. Key risk: AI capex slows due to macro/enterprise budget cuts, reducing new GPU system orders even if memory supply remains tight.

Key Risk: AI data-center spending slows, cutting incremental GPU/server orders.

  • Micron briefly tops Meta and Tesla in market value.
  • AI-driven demand boosts revenue and chip shipments.
  • Analysts raise targets on “new era in memory” outlook.

Micron Technology MU briefly moved ahead of Meta Platforms (META) and Tesla (TSLA) in market capitalization on Thursday, after a strong outlook from the memory chipmaker extended its rally driven by artificial intelligence demand.

Micron’s shares had surged 18.4% at $1,236, giving the company a market value of $1.398 trillion.

This compared with Meta’s $1.392 trillion, while Tesla stood at about $1.4 trillion, according to the data.

The stock is currently trading 9.6% up.

The move comes after Micron’s fourth-quarter revenue and profit forecasts helped reverse a recent slump.

The company also said customers had committed $22 billion to secure memory chip supply.

Micron first crossed the $1 trillion valuation mark on May 26, joining other major semiconductor names benefiting from strong investor interest in companies tied to Big Tech’s AI infrastructure spending.

Revenue surge driven by data center demand

Micron reported that revenue in the second quarter quadrupled, supported by what it described as a demand-driven chip shortage expected to extend beyond 2027. This marks a shift from earlier expectations that the shortage would end in the near term.

The company now has 16 long-term chip supply agreements in place.

Adjusted earnings came in at $25.11 per share on revenue of $41.5 billion, representing a 346% increase from a year earlier. Adjusted gross margin stood at 85%, while adjusted operating margin reached 81%.

Growth was led by Micron’s two data-center segments, which together expanded 415% year-on-year to $25 billion.

These segments now account for 61% of total sales.

The company also reported $18 billion in free cash flow for the quarter and said cash, equivalents, and short-term investments rose to $26 billion at the end of May, up from $14 billion three months earlier.

Analysts raise targets amid “new era in memory”

Following the results, analysts pointed to a structural shift in Micron’s business profile.

D A Davidson analyst Gil Luria said, “We posit that Micron has entered an era where it has some of the semi industry's best visibility, a far cry from its historical role in the semi market,” raising his price target to $2,000 from $1,500 in a note titled “New Era in Memory.”

KeyBanc also lifted its target sharply to $1,600 from $600, with analyst John Vinh stating, “We believe Micron deserves to be further rerated.”

Wedbush analysts described the results as a “much needed drop the mic quarter to alleviate memory concerns.”

“We are seeing no cracks in AI demand on the chips/ hardware or software front which gives us a bright green light to own the core tech winners into year-end,” they added.

However, Futurum chief market strategist Shay Boloor cautioned on valuation interpretation, saying, “This print is a major validation of the memory supercycle thesis but I wouldn't value Micron by simply annualizing peak margins forever,” adding that normalized earnings power has likely moved higher but cyclicality has not disappeared.