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Dow rises 140 points as softer inflation, BlackRock, Paypal lift US stocks

Dow rises 140 points as softer inflation, BlackRock, Paypal lift US stocks
Ananthu C U
Jul 15, 2026, 09:44 A.M.

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BlackRock (BLK)

Buy BLK. Softer inflation lifts risk assets, and the article shows BLK’s earnings beat driven by higher client assets during the rally—exactly the kind of operating leverage that tends to persist when markets stay bid. Add the momentum: shares jumped >7% on results, and financials (Morgan Stanley) also beat, confirming the earnings-season tailwind.

Key Risk: A sharp market selloff that cuts client assets fast, turning the earnings beat into a one-quarter fluke.

PayPal (PYPL) takeover arbitrage

Buy PYPL. Stripe + Advent’s $60.50 offer (nearly +15% pop) creates a clear near-term catalyst: deal negotiations, financing clarity, and competing bids. The stock is repricing toward the offer price, so you want exposure to deal completion odds and any incremental premium.

Key Risk: The offer collapses or is blocked, or a higher bidder never materializes and the stock falls back below $60.

  • Dow gains as softer PPI data eases near-term Fed rate hike fears.
  • BlackRock jumps after earnings beat; PayPal rallies on takeover report.
  • Oil stays elevated as Iran tensions offset optimism from inflation data.

US stocks opened higher on Wednesday after investors responded to another softer-than-expected inflation report and a fresh round of corporate earnings.

Chip stocks fell even after upbeat guidance from ASML.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average added roughly 148 points, or 0.28%.

The S&P 500 rose 0.47%, while the Nasdaq Composite gained about 0.67%.

The gains came after data showed that the Producer Price Index (PPI) unexpectedly declined 0.3% in June, compared with expectations for no monthly change.

The report followed Tuesday’s weaker-than-expected Consumer Price Index reading, reinforcing expectations that inflationary pressures may be easing.

Market participants reduced expectations for an immediate Federal Reserve interest rate increase following the latest inflation data.

According to CME’s FedWatch Tool, the probability of a rate hike at the Fed’s July meeting fell to around 16%-17%, down sharply from more than 40% before Tuesday’s CPI report.

However, traders continued to expect at least one rate increase later this year, with markets assigning a high probability of a September hike.

Investors were also awaiting the second day of Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s testimony before Congress after he cautioned on Tuesday that a single inflation reading was not sufficient to declare victory over rising prices.

Corporate earnings remain in focus

Second-quarter earnings continued to shape market sentiment, with another round of financial companies reporting results.

BlackRock shares climbed more than 7% in trading after the asset manager reported quarterly earnings that exceeded analyst expectations, supported by higher client asset values during the market rally.

Morgan Stanley also topped Wall Street profit estimates for the second quarter, benefiting from stronger mergers and acquisitions activity. Its shares traded modestly higher before the opening bell.

The strong bank results helped reinforce optimism surrounding the early stages of the earnings season.

Investors are closely monitoring corporate earnings after the S&P 500 has gained more than 10% this year and closed Tuesday less than 1% below its June record high.

Elsewhere, PayPal surged nearly 15% in trading after Reuters reported that payments company Stripe and private equity firm Advent International had jointly offered to acquire the company for $60.50 per share, representing a significant premium to its previous closing price.

Not all earnings reactions were positive.

Elevance Health fell 11% despite raising its annual profit forecast, as investors viewed the revised outlook as falling short of expectations.

Chip stocks falls even as ASML raises outlook

Semiconductor reversed premarket gains after ASML raised its financial outlook for 2026 for the second time this year, reinforcing confidence in continued artificial intelligence-driven demand.

The VanEck Semiconductor ETF was in red. ASML rose around 1%, while Intel and Lam Research fell more than 0.5%.

Despite the improved inflation outlook, geopolitical developments continued to limit broader market enthusiasm.

Oil prices remained elevated after the US military launched another round of strikes against Iran.

West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose about 0.6% to trade above $79 per barrel, while Brent crude futures gained roughly 0.7% to trade above $85 per barrel.