Invezz

Asian stock markets dip as geopolitical risks weigh on investors

Asian stock markets dip as geopolitical risks weigh on investors
Rivanshi Rakhrai
08 May 2026, 09:13 AM

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Brent crude futures

Buy Brent crude futures (or USO as a proxy). The article flags renewed US–Iran exchanges and a “most serious challenge yet” to the ceasefire; oil is already up and the market is still pricing escalation risk. This keeps energy bid even if Iran later says “normal.” Key risk: a rapid, credible de-escalation that restores ceasefire confidence and forces oil back below ~$100.

Key Risk: A clear ceasefire restoration that makes escalation fears disappear and crushes oil prices.

SoftBank / Arm supply risk

Sell SoftBank Group (9984.T) or short Arm-related exposure via SoftBank. The Nikkei is pressured by SoftBank losses after Arm warned about potential supply challenges for its new AI chip—this hits sentiment right when AI-linked stocks are otherwise strong. If supply slips, AI demand optimism for the ecosystem can fade quickly. Key risk: Arm’s supply concerns prove minor and guidance improves, letting SoftBank rebound with the AI rally.

Key Risk: Arm’s supply issues turn out to be limited and guidance improves, reversing the SoftBank hit.

  • Asian shares slipped slightly despite strong weekly gains from AI stocks.
  • Brent crude climbed above $101 after renewed US-Iran military exchanges.
  • Investors awaited US payroll data and monitored UK political uncertainty.

Asian stock markets eased slightly on Friday after a week of strong gains driven by chipmakers and artificial intelligence-linked stocks, while oil prices surged following renewed military exchanges between the United States and Iran.

MSCI’s broadest index of Asian shares outside Japan fell 0.8%, though the regional benchmark still remained near record highs after a sharp rally earlier in the week.

South Korea’s KOSPI also slipped 0.8%, but the index was still on course for a weekly gain of more than 12%, marking its strongest weekly performance since 2008.

Shares of Samsung and SK Hynix continued to benefit from growing optimism around AI demand.

Taiwan’s benchmark index gained 6.9% this week, while Japan’s Nikkei advanced 4.5% during the same period.

Oil jumps as US and Iran exchange fire

Oil prices moved higher after the United States and Iran exchanged fire on Thursday in what was described as the most serious challenge yet to their month-long ceasefire.

Benchmark Brent crude futures rose 1.3% to $101.60 a barrel as investors monitored the risk of a broader escalation in the Middle East.

Despite the clashes, Iran later said the situation had returned to normal, while the United States stated it did not want the conflict to intensify further.

US President Donald Trump said the ceasefire remained in effect, helping support market hopes that the tensions could still be resolved diplomatically.

SoftBank weighs on Japanese shares

Japan’s Nikkei index slipped 0.4% on Friday morning, pressured by losses in SoftBank shares.

The decline came after Arm Holdings, in which SoftBank is the majority owner, warned about potential supply challenges for its new artificial intelligence chip.

Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures edged 0.2% higher, suggesting a steadier opening for US equities.

Currency markets remained broadly stable.

The US dollar recovered from recent lows, while the Japanese yen stayed under pressure despite suspected intervention from Japanese authorities.

The yen traded at 156.9 per dollar after struggling to hold gains beyond the 155 level.

Market participants suspect Japan has intervened with nearly $70 billion since last Thursday to support its currency.

The euro traded at $1.1731, while the Australian dollar stood at $0.7210.

China’s yuan, which has been Asia’s best-performing currency since the conflict began, hovered near its strongest level since 2023 and approached the 6.8 per dollar mark.

Focus shifts to US jobs report and UK elections

Investors were also awaiting the US non-farm payrolls report due later on Friday.

According to a Reuters survey of economists, US payrolls are expected to have increased by 62,000 in April after rising 178,000 in March.

Markets were also watching local government elections in Britain, where weak results for the ruling Labour Party were widely anticipated.

Investors are concerned that poor election outcomes could increase political pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer and weigh on Britain’s gilt market.

Sterling remained steady around $1.36.

Treasury yields, which rose alongside oil prices on Thursday due to inflation worries, were little changed on Friday.

The benchmark US 10-year Treasury yield stood at 4.39%.

Australian 10-year bond yields climbed six basis points to 4.99%.

Bitcoin traded at $79,460, moving closer to recording a sixth straight weekly gain.