Why Nvidia earnings are particularly significant for Intel, AMD stock

Why Nvidia earnings are particularly significant for Intel, AMD stock
Wajeeh Khan
20 May 2026, 20:05 PM

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Buy AMD (MI350/MI400)

Nvidia’s print is the AI capex scoreboard. If NVDA confirms Blackwell demand is still supply-constrained, AMD’s MI350/MI400 ramp gets immediate “share-of-spend” validation and investors pay up for the challenger. Play it by buying AMD ahead of the read-through to data center inference workloads; the article already flags AMD as the primary beneficiary if hyperscalers diversify pipelines.

Key Risk: NVDA signals demand is slowing or supply is loosening fast, which kills the “structural shortage = AMD share gains” narrative and compresses AMD’s multiple.

Sell Intel (DCAI + 18A timing)

Intel’s upside depends on Nvidia volume pull-through plus continued “unprecedented demand for silicon.” If NVDA guidance hints at enterprise capex cooling or longer hardware digestion, Intel’s server CPU and foundry turnaround stalls before 18A ramps, and the market will re-rate INTC lower fast (article notes “hold” and ~30% downside).

Key Risk: NVDA guidance shows AI infrastructure spending decelerating, making Intel’s turnaround timeline look too slow and turning the market against INTC.

  • Nvidia is scheduled to report its quarterly earnings today, after the bell.
  • Here's why its Q1 release is of particular importance for Intel and AMD.
  • Both Intel and AMD shares are rallying ahead of NVDA's quarterly print.

The global semiconductor landscape is bracing for impact as Nvidia (NVDA) prepares to report its fiscal first-quarter 2027 financial results tonight after the closing bell.

Wall Street's consensus is hovering at a breathtaking bar, with analysts projecting a non-GAAP profit of $1.78 per share on record revenue of $79.2 billion.

Achieving these figures would represent an explosive year-over-year revenue expansion of roughly 79.5%, a testament to the unyielding appetite for artificial intelligence infrastructure.

However, this print has transcended being a standalone corporate milestone; it acts as the definitive macro bellwether for the tech sector.

Because Nvidia sits at the apex of advanced computing, its forward-looking guidance and supply chain updates will inevitably dictate the trading momentum and strategic valuations of its closest rivals, Advanced Micro Devices AMD and Intel (INTC).

The AMD readout: checking the depth for the challenger’s moat

For Advanced Micro Devices, Nvidia's report is a double-edged sword that provides crucial validation for its own aggressive AI roadmap.

Having recently posted a blockbuster forecast pointing to $11.2 billion in second-quarter revenue, AMD has proven that it is the primary challenger to Nvidia's crown.

Tonight, investors will dissect Nvidia’s Blackwell architecture ramp to gauge whether demand continues to outstrip supply, leaving a massive secondary spillover market for AMD’s MI350 and MI400 accelerators.

If Nvidia notes any deceleration in enterprise capital expenditures or hardware digest periods, multiple compression will swiftly hit AMD stock.

Conversely, if Nvidia underlines a structural supply deficit, it signals to hyperscalers that they must diversify their pipelines, validating AMD's push to secure market share in data center inference workloads.

Heading into Nvidia’s release, Wall Street has a consensus “strong buy” rating on AMD stock with price targets going as high as $625, indicating significant further upside room through the year-end.

AMD shares gained 8% on Wednesday.

The Intel equation: server CPU traction and foundry foundations

Intel views Nvidia's earnings through a profoundly structural lens, particularly following its own robust first-quarter turnaround, which yielded a 22% spike in Data Center and AI (DCAI) revenue.

Intel’s server chips, like the Xeon 6, are increasingly vital because they act as the host CPUs embedded directly inside Nvidia's massive DGX Rubin NVL8 systems.

A blowout quarter for Nvidia fundamentally guarantees an immediate volume pull-through for Intel’s processor divisions.

Furthermore, as Intel aggressively markets its Gaudi 3 accelerators as cost-effective alternatives and seeks to scale its external foundry business toward a $15 billion pipeline, Nvidia's data will confirm whether the broader market's "unprecedented demand for silicon" remains intact.

Any macroeconomic cooling revealed tonight could stall Intel's complex structural turnaround before its 18A manufacturing node hits high-volume production.

Heading into Nvidia’s quarterly print, Wall Street rates Intel shares at “hold” only – with the mean price target of nearly $85 signaling potential “downside” of nearly 30% from here.  

Intel shares were up 5% in the trading session.