Invezz

Silver trades higher as investors await Federal Reserve policy decision

Silver trades higher as investors await Federal Reserve policy decision
Rivanshi Rakhrai
29 Jul 2026, 10:28 AM

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Buy XAG/USD

Silver is rising on renewed US-Iran risk, which lifts oil and inflation expectations—yet the key catalyst is the Fed decision: if the Fed holds rates (high odds), real-rate pressure eases and silver’s “non-yield” penalty fades. Buy XAG/USD for a continuation move toward the next resistance zone after the +1% bounce.

Key Risk: The Fed signals rates stay higher for longer (hawkish guidance), pushing real yields up and crushing silver demand.

Sell WTI/Buy XAG relative

Oil is jumping on geopolitics, but that’s already priced as a near-term shock. If the Fed holds, silver can outperform oil because silver benefits from softer rate pressure while oil’s inflation impulse may fade. Sell WTI (WTI futures) and buy XAG/USD as a relative trade.

Key Risk: Geopolitics escalates into a sustained oil supply shock, keeping WTI elevated and dragging silver higher rates/inflation fears back into the market.

  • Silver rises 1.14% near $57.80 during Wednesday’s Asian trading session.
  • Oil prices rebound as renewed US-Iran tensions lift geopolitical concerns.
  • Markets await the Federal Reserve’s latest interest rate decision.

Silver price (XAG/USD) traded 1.14% higher at around $57.80 during the Asian trading session on Wednesday.

The white metal gained despite a sharp rebound in oil prices, which rose amid renewed tensions between the United States and Iran.

The move in silver came as investors continued to monitor developments in the Middle East.

The latest escalation between the US and Iran has pushed oil prices higher.

This has also raised fresh concerns about the potential impact of energy costs on inflation expectations.

Silver has faced pressure in recent months as higher oil prices have contributed to expectations of stronger inflation.

Such a scenario can influence central banks to maintain interest rates at elevated levels or consider keeping monetary policy tighter for longer.

Higher interest rates are generally viewed as negative for non-yielding assets such as silver.

The precious metal does not provide interest income to investors.

As a result, higher rates can reduce the appeal of holding assets that do not generate a yield.

Oil prices rebound on renewed US-Iran tensions

Oil prices moved sharply higher during the session.

WTI Oil price rose 3.65% to around $81.20.

The move ended a three-day losing streak for the benchmark.

The rebound came as tensions between the US and Iran intensified.

The US Central Command (CENTCOM) reported late Tuesday that it had intercepted all ballistic missiles launched by Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) forces.

According to CENTCOM, the US later carried out precision strikes in Iraq.

The strikes targeted Iran-backed groups that were reportedly planning attacks on US forces and Saudi oil facilities.

The developments have added to concerns surrounding the oil market.

Renewed geopolitical tensions can increase uncertainty around energy supplies and prices.

The sharp rise in WTI prices on Wednesday reflected the market's response to the latest developments.

Rising energy costs can contribute to higher inflation expectations.

Investors await Federal Reserve rate decision

Market participants are now turning their attention to the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy announcement.

The decision is scheduled for 18:00 GMT.

According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders currently see a 69.5% probability that the Federal Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged.

The expected target range is 3.50% to 3.75%.

If the Federal Reserve keeps rates unchanged, it would mark the fifth consecutive policy meeting in which the central bank maintains the status quo.

The decision will be closely watched by investors in silver and other financial markets.

Interest rate expectations remain an important factor for non-yielding assets.

Any indication that rates could remain elevated may weigh on demand for silver.

At the same time, a shift in expectations around future monetary policy could influence market sentiment.

Investors will therefore focus on the Federal Reserve’s announcement and any comments surrounding the central bank’s policy outlook.