Rocket Lab stock is soaring, and a rare pattern points to gains; but there’s a catch

Rocket Lab stock has rebounded in the past few weeks, moving from a low of $58.25 to $82, helped by its strong earnings and increasing backlog. It also jumped after the company inked a major deal with Viasat and other organizations. It has formed a giant double-bottom pattern, pointing to more upside in the near term.

Rocket Lab stock jumps after a major Viasat deal

RKLB stock continued rising this week, reaching a major deal with Viasat, one of the top companies in the satellite communications industry. In a statement, Rocket Lab said that it would deliver a GEO configuration of its high-performance Lightning spacecraft platform to host Viasat’s dual-band X/Ka-band payload. This project is part of the U.S. Space Force. In a statement, Peter Beck, the CEO, said:

"Moving from design into production marks an important milestone for this program and for Rocket Lab's growing role in national security space. By pairing our vertically integrated spacecraft with Viasat's protected communications payload, we're delivering resilient, space-based communications infrastructure that keeps our forces connected.”

More companies and organizations have embraced Rocket Lab’s products and services. For example, it recently implemented a major contract for MDA Space, a Canadian company. This contract was part of the replenishment of Globalstar’s existing constellation, which provides direct-to-device communications services and IoT applications. The first eight of the 17 satellites were launched on August 15.

The most recent results showed that its revenue backlog jumped to $2.34 billion from $2 billion in the first quarter of the year. Its backlog in the third quarter so far was $800 million. Some of these deals are from companies like Kepler Communications, iQPS, and the Space Force.

These numbers helped to push its revenue up substantially. Its revenue jumped by 62% in the second quarter to $234 million, helped by its Space Systems business. 51% of its contracts are from commercial clients, with the rest being government. 

Rocket Lab expects that its vertical integration model will help to boost its revenue growth over time. To achieve that, it recently acquired Iridium in a $8 billion deal. Before that, it acquired Mynaric and Motiv. Mynaric is a laser communications company making optical communication terminals for space and airborne applications. Motiv, on the other hand, makes robotic arms and motor controllers.

Rocket Lab’s growth will likely continue doing well in the coming years. For example, analysts expect the upcoming results to show that its revenue to come in at $230 million, up by 60% from a year earlier. For the year, the revenue is expected to jump by 58% to $952 million, followed by $1.3 billion next year.

RKLB stock price has formed a double-bottom pattern

Rocket Lab stock chart | Source: TradingView

The daily chart shows that the RKLB stock has rebounded in the past few days. It has jumped from a low of $58.24 to $82 today. A closer look shows that the stock has slowly formed a double-bottom pattern at $58.25 and a neckline at the all-time high of $151.

The risk, however, is that the stock may be forming a head-and-shoulders pattern, a common bearish sign. In this case, the left shoulder is at $99.77. As such, the stock needs to move above the key resistance at $99.77 to confirm the bullish outlook. If this happens, it will raise the possibility of the stock soaring to an all-time high. 

On the flip side, a drop below the support level of $60 will invalidate the bullish outlook and point to more downside.

READ MORE: Analysts raise Rocket Lab stock targets after earnings: Why it could still hit $50