Dow slips 90 pts as Fed decision, Big Tech earnings keep markets on edge

Wall Street opened in the red on Wednesday, as investors were cautious ahead of a pivotal Federal Reserve decision and a heavy slate of Big Tech earnings, while keeping a close eye on rising oil prices and geopolitical tensions.

The S&P 500 slipped 0.18%, alongside the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which fell 92 points, while the Nasdaq Composite fell by 0.47%.

The muted tone reflects a market in wait-and-see mode, with several key catalysts due later in the day.

Big Tech earnings take center stage

Investor focus is firmly on upcoming earnings from four of the “Magnificent Seven” companies—Amazon, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, and Alphabet—all scheduled to report after the closing bell.

Markets are looking beyond headline earnings, with particular attention on forward guidance and whether these companies can justify their heavy investments in artificial intelligence.

The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor Index has surged 41.7% so far this year, underscoring the strength of the AI-driven rally.

However, sentiment has recently been tested following reports that OpenAI missed internal targets for user growth and revenue, raising concerns about the sustainability of the AI spending cycle.

Shares of Amazon, Meta, Alphabet, and Microsoft slipped between 0.3% and 1.5%, reflecting cautious positioning ahead of results.

Fed decision in focus as Powell nears exit

Alongside earnings, investors are closely watching the conclusion of the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting, which is widely expected to result in no change to interest rates.

The meeting is also likely to mark the final appearance of Jerome Powell as chair of the US central bank, with Kevin Warsh expected to succeed him following nomination by President Donald Trump.

Markets will be parsing Powell’s commentary for clues on inflation, particularly as geopolitical tensions push energy prices higher. While policymakers have signaled caution, some analysts see risks in the tone of the upcoming remarks.

The Fed’s decision comes at a time when inflation remains above its 2% target, while the labor market is described as resilient but not weak enough to justify immediate rate cuts.

Elevated oil prices, driven by geopolitical developments, add another layer of complexity to the central bank’s outlook.

Oil surge and stock movers shape sentiment

Oil prices continued to climb on Wednesday, with US West Texas Intermediate rising more than 4% to trade above $104 per barrel, and Brent crude advancing past $116.

The gains follow reports that the US is preparing for an extended blockade of Iranian ports, intensifying concerns over supply disruptions.

Energy market tensions have been further complicated by uncertainty surrounding Iran’s proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global shipping route.

In equities, several individual stocks made notable moves.

Robinhood Markets fell 12% after missing profit expectations for the first quarter.

Meanwhile, Seagate Technology surged nearly 19% after issuing a strong forecast, lifting peers including Western Digital, Micron Technology, and SanDisk.

Starbucks gained 6.1% after raising its annual profit forecast, while Visa and Mastercard rose following an improved earnings outlook from Visa.

NXP Semiconductors stood out with a 23% jump after forecasting second-quarter revenue and profit above expectations.