Seagate stock jumps as AI demand boosts growth and cash flow

Seagate stock jumps as AI demand boosts growth and cash flow
Ananthu C U
13-Jun-2026, 00:10 AM

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STX (Seagate)

Buy STX. The company is locking in nearline capacity through 2027, raised revenue growth to 20%+, and just posted decade-high free cash flow ($953M, 31% margin). The $150.7M debt redemption improves flexibility and reduces balance-sheet overhang, which should keep the multiple supported while AI storage demand converts into cash.

Key Risk: AI storage demand cools or HDD pricing weakens fast enough that cash flow and forecast growth fall below what the market is paying for.

Western Digital (WDC)

Buy WDC as a duopoly beneficiary. If Seagate’s capacity is nearly fully allocated and AI workloads are pulling forward storage demand, the whole HDD supply chain tightens. WDC should see similar demand tailwinds and benefit from any industry pricing discipline implied by Seagate’s cash generation.

Key Risk: WDC’s product mix or execution lags (or it loses share) so it doesn’t capture the same AI-driven demand and pricing power.

  • Seagate jumps 8% after announcing $150.7 million debt reduction.
  • AI storage demand drives 44% revenue growth and strong outlook.
  • Free cash flow hits decade high as data center sales surge.

Seagate Technology Holdings STX shares climbed sharply on Friday as investors responded positively to the company's efforts to strengthen its balance sheet and capitalize on growing demand for data storage driven by artificial intelligence.

The data storage manufacturer saw its stock rise 8.3% in trading after announcing plans to redeem all outstanding 3.50% Exchangeable Senior Notes due 2028.

The move is expected to eliminate approximately $150.7 million in debt, improving Seagate's capital structure and enhancing its financial flexibility.

The debt reduction announcement comes amid a period of strong operational performance for the company, which has benefited from accelerating demand for storage infrastructure as AI adoption expands across industries.

AI-driven demand fuels revenue growth

Seagate has emerged as one of the beneficiaries of the rapid growth in artificial intelligence workloads, which require vast amounts of data storage and management capacity.

The company recently raised its annual revenue growth forecast to at least 20%, citing robust demand from AI-related applications.

Management also disclosed that its nearline storage capacity is almost fully allocated through calendar year 2027, providing significant visibility into future revenue streams.

The company reported non-GAAP revenue of $3.11 billion in the third quarter of fiscal 2026, increasing 44% from a year earlier.

According to management, the growing shift toward inference-driven workloads, agentic AI, and multimodal applications is contributing to a sharp increase in data creation and storage requirements.

The data center business remained Seagate's primary growth engine during the quarter.

Revenue from the segment reached $2.5 billion, accounting for approximately 80% of total company revenue and representing year-over-year growth of 55%.

Seagate also shipped 199 exabytes of hard disk drive storage during the quarter, up 39% from the prior year and 5% sequentially.

Free cash flow reaches decade high

Strong operating performance translated into significant cash generation for the company.

Seagate reported free cash flow of $953 million during the third quarter of fiscal 2026, an increase of 57% sequentially and the highest quarterly level in a decade.

Management highlighted that the figure represented a free cash flow margin of 31%.

Year-to-date free cash flow reached $1.987 billion, underscoring the company's ability to convert revenue growth into cash generation.

The company's profitability metrics also remained strong.

Seagate reported a gross margin of 46.5%, reflecting effective cost management and profitability levels that exceed many industry peers.

Revenue growth of 44.07% over the most recent three-month period also outpaced the average growth rate among peers in the information technology sector.

Insider sale draws attention

While investors welcomed Seagate's operational momentum, a recent insider transaction also attracted market attention.

According to a Form 4 filing with the US Securities and Exchange Commission, Executive Vice President and Chief Technology Officer John C. Morris sold 573 shares of Seagate stock on June 11.

The transaction was valued at approximately $471,426.

Despite the insider sale, Seagate shares continued to advance as investors focused on the company's growth outlook and AI-driven demand trends.

Seagate remains one of the leading suppliers of hard disk drives globally, operating in what is effectively a duopoly alongside Western Digital.

However, the company continues to face some financial challenges.

Its debt-to-equity ratio stands at 3.82, higher than the industry average, indicating elevated financial leverage despite the recent debt reduction initiative.