Gold hits 2-month low as US-Iran tensions boost inflation fears

Gold hits 2-month low as US-Iran tensions boost inflation fears
Rivanshi Rakhrai
28 May 2026, 12:31 PM

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Long US Dollar (UUP)

The article says geopolitical tensions are supporting the dollar even as peace talks continue. Trade: buy Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP) or a USD index future. Why it works: higher oil/inflation fears can keep US rates supported, and the dollar tends to outperform when markets price tighter policy for longer.

Key Risk: US inflation data (PCE) comes in cooler than expected, forcing rate-cut pricing and weakening the dollar.

Short Gold (XAUUSD / GC)

Gold is breaking down on a mix of a stronger USD and rising rate expectations from Iran-driven oil/inflation fears. Trade: sell XAUUSD and/or June COMEX gold futures (GC). Catalyst: continued dollar strength plus any hawkish tilt from upcoming US PCE. Why it works: gold is non-yielding, so higher real yields and a firmer USD typically pressure it further.

Key Risk: A clear de-escalation with Iran that sparks a risk-off bid into gold and pulls the dollar lower.

  • Gold falls to two-month low as dollar strengthens sharply.
  • Rising oil prices fuel inflation fears and pressure precious metals.
  • Markets await US PCE data for Federal Reserve policy signals.

Gold prices dropped to a two-month low on Thursday as renewed US military action against Iran strengthened the dollar and pushed oil prices higher, raising concerns over inflation and the outlook for interest rates.

Spot gold fell 1.1% to $4,406.81 per ounce as of 0236 GMT.

The metal touched its lowest level since March 27 during the session.

US gold futures for June delivery also declined 0.9% to $4,404.90.

Stronger dollar weighs on bullion

The US dollar climbed to a near one-week high, making gold more expensive for buyers holding other currencies.

The stronger greenback added further pressure on bullion prices.

Matt Simpson, senior analyst at StoneX, said geopolitical tensions continue to support the dollar despite ongoing discussions around a possible peace agreement.

Gold is typically viewed as a safe-haven asset during periods of uncertainty.

However, a stronger dollar and expectations of higher interest rates often reduce the appeal of the non-yielding metal.

Fresh US strikes on Iran raise tensions

The decline in gold prices came after the US military launched new strikes in Iran targeting a military site believed to pose a threat to US forces and commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, according to a US official.

The strikes took place only hours after President Donald Trump rejected an Iranian report claiming there was a deal to restore traffic through the strategic waterway.

The renewed tensions between the US and Iran also pushed oil prices higher.

Crude prices rose about 2% in early Asian trading on Thursday.

Higher oil prices have raised fears of accelerating inflation, which could force central banks to maintain elevated interest rates for longer.

Inflation concerns cloud rate outlook

Investors are increasingly focused on how geopolitical tensions and rising commodity prices could impact the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy path.

Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook said on Wednesday that the US central bank should keep short-term interest rates steady for now.

However, she added that policymakers remain alert to inflation risks linked to tariffs, the Iran conflict, and increased investment tied to artificial intelligence.

Cook said she is prepared to support rate hikes if inflationary pressures intensify.

Higher interest rates generally reduce the attractiveness of gold because the metal does not offer yields or interest income.

Market participants are now awaiting the release of US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data later in the day.

The report is expected to provide further clues on the Federal Reserve’s next policy moves.

Other precious metals decline

Other precious metals also traded lower during the session.

Spot silver declined 1.6% to $73.44 per ounce.

Platinum fell 0.8% to $1,902.66, while palladium slipped 1% to $1,376.66.