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Josh Brown reveals the best bank stock to own heading into Q2 earnings

Josh Brown reveals the best bank stock to own heading into Q2 earnings
Wajeeh Khan
10 Jul 2026, 15:09 PM

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Citigroup (C)

Buy C. The thesis is a real earnings power shift: Fraser’s “shrinking to grow” is refocusing Citi on higher-margin corporate services (especially global treasury/trade), while the stock has strong momentum and sentiment is already bullish (put/call ~0.42). The near-term setup is Q2: revenue +7.8% YoY and EPS up ~39%, with options implying upside toward ~$145. The share buyback program adds mechanical EPS lift by shrinking the share count.

Key Risk: Q2 results miss or guidance disappoints, proving the restructuring isn’t translating into durable earnings (buyback can’t fix weak fundamentals).

Bank of America (BAC) relative strength

Sell BAC versus C. If Citi’s turnaround is the market’s new “best bank,” capital rotates away from the laggards’ peers. Citi’s operational focus plus buyback-driven EPS acceleration should keep outperforming JPM/BAC on a relative basis into and after Q2 as investors chase the cleaner turnaround story.

Key Risk: BAC’s earnings/guidance re-accelerate and investors decide Citi’s move is already priced, causing relative performance to flip back in BAC’s favor.

  • Josh Brown says Citigroup is the best bank stock to own in 2026.
  • The Ritholtz's chief executive explained why in a recent report.
  • Citi shares are currently up more than 30% versus YTD low.

NY-headquartered Citigroup has been the perennial laggard of Wall Street for years, burdened by the legacy of the global financial crisis and an unmanageable corporate structure.

However, the narrative has flipped, with a renowned wealth manager, Josh Brown, recently calling Citi “one of the top bank stocks” to own – driven by a profound operational turnaround engineered by CEO Jane Fraser.

By aggressively divesting non-core international consumer operations and removing management layers, the bank has unlocked significant capital efficiency, he told CNBC.

Heading into its Q2 release, Citi shares are up more than 30% versus its year-to-date low.

Why is Brown bullish on Citi stock

Brown’s bullish view on Citi stock is based on a combination of technical momentum and corporate restructuring.

According to him, the catalyst for change has been Fraser’s “shrinking to grow” strategy – exiting over a dozen overseas retail markets to focus on high-margin corporate services.

Brown particularly favours Citigroup’s global treasury and trade solutions franchise, which serves as the fundamental plumbing of international commerce.

Fraser’s visionary leadership has even helped Citi outperform its larger peers, JPMorgan and Bank of America, in the trailing 12 months.

A healthy 1.72% dividend yield makes Citigroup even more attractive to own in 2026.

Citi shares to rally after Q2 earnings

In the near-term, Citi’s upcoming earnings could prove a tailwind that unlocks the next leg higher.

Expectations are for the investment bank to report $23.4 billion (approx. £17.7 billion) in revenue – up 7.8% on a year-over-year basis – on as much as $2.72 a share of earnings, which will represent 39% growth over last year's figure.

Crucially, options pricing is bullish heading into the company’s quarterly report. The put-to-call ratio on contracts expiring July 17, just days after the print, sits at 0.42 currently.

And the upper price on those contracts is set at about $145, indicating potential for a 4.2% increase in Citi shares from current levels.

How to play Citigroup at current levels?

Sentiment is structurally supported by the massive $30 billion (approx. £22.7 billion) share buyback program announced at Citi's May Investor Day.

The aggressive compression of shares outstanding is mechanically lifting the EPS trajectory faster than organic growth alone.

Ultimately, Citigroup’s transformation is proving that sometimes a giant must lean down to leap forward.

By shedding the dead weight of its legacy structure and focusing squarely on its core strengths, the bank has successfully shifted market sentiment from skepticism to strong optimism.

If the upcoming Q2 earnings report validates these aggressive restructuring efforts and meets Wall Street's heightened expectations, it will solidify the bank's new trajectory.

For investors who once viewed Citi as a value trap, the combination of technical momentum, a robust buyback program, and disciplined leadership makes the stock a compelling comeback story for the rest of 2026.