HBAR price holds near $0.10 level, but are bears done?

HBAR price rose to above $0.10 this past week, bouncing off lows of $0.08 following the crypto market crash on February 5, 2026.

Bulls are holding onto some of the gains near this critical support and psychological level.

However, the move back to $0.10 only sees Hedera eye the resistance of a multi-month downtrend line and a potential dip to recent lows looms large.

Why is HBAR price bearish?

A bearish outlook is in place as most cryptocurrencies hover well below all-time highs or recent peaks.

Bitcoin's struggle since crashing under $70,000, with forecasts of a possible retreat to $50k, has the short-term outlook for the crypto market pegged for downward action.

For HBAR, negative sentiment holds amid a lack of positive traction across spot exchange-traded funds and real-world assets.

Hedera’s total value locked dipped as DeFi momentum on the chain slowed down significantly.

While the broader decentralized finance ecosystem has seen TVL shrink from $160 billion in September 2025 to around $95 billion as of writing, Hedera's TVL fell to around $58.84 million.

The metric has dropped from highs of $203 million at the start of last year and $140 million in July.

Ecosystem protocols such as SaucerSwap, Bonzo Finance, and HbarSuite have continued to struggle to attract notable activity, despite Hedera’s current status as a top 30 cryptocurrency by market cap.

The network’s total stablecoin market cap has jumped 46% in the past week – from about $46 million to over $87 million.

However, this pales in comparison to other public and enterprise‑focused blockchain platforms targeted for fast, scalable, and compliant infrastructure within the DeFi, tokenization, and enterprise use cases market.

The overall dip across stablecoin supply also replicates in the key RWA and ETF sectors.

Notably, Hedera's ranking as one of the top blockchains in RWA development activity hasn't translated to a rise in on-chain value.

HBAR price prediction

The token traded to intraday highs of $0.30 in July 2025.

However, broader sell-off pressure saw prices tank to under $0.08 in early February.

While bulls have shown resilience and bounced, HBAR remains in a downtrend with lower highs and higher lows.

The technical picture includes the awesome oscillator on the weekly chart showing bear strength, with HBAR also finding it tough to pierce the resistance line of a descending channel.

With forecasts for the broader market largely bearish in the short-term, it’s likely the path of least resistance is downward.

Losses below $0.10 risk plunging HBAR to lows of $0.07-$0.05.

The all-time low for Hedera is $0.010, reached in January 2020.

However, the RSI near oversold conditions suggests a likely bounce from support.

In this case, buyers might challenge bears' resolve in the $0.12-$0.15 zone, with fresh momentum allowing for a retest of $0.20.