Europe markets open higher on Iran peace proposal hopes

Europe markets open higher on Iran peace proposal hopes
Rivanshi Rakhrai
28 Apr 2026, 12:17 PM

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BP (LSE: BP)

Buy BP. The Iran peace proposal keeps a lid on worst-case Strait of Hormuz disruption, which should cap oil spikes and support refining/marketing margins without collapsing crude. BP’s earnings calendar is near-term, and a “less-bad” oil tape typically lifts integrated majors’ sentiment fast.

Key Risk: Trump refuses to lift the blockade and the war escalates, sending oil sharply higher and crushing margins and risk appetite.

Barclays (LSE: BARC)

Buy Barclays. If the Fed/ECB/BoE stay on hold as expected, European bank funding stress eases and rate-path volatility falls. A calmer rates backdrop plus a modestly risk-on open supports trading and investment banking activity into earnings.

Key Risk: Central banks turn hawkish (or inflation re-accelerates), pushing yields up in a way that hurts loan demand and raises credit-loss fears.

  • European stocks set to open higher amid Iran peace proposal developments.
  • Investors watch earnings from major firms and central bank decisions.
  • Oil prices rise slightly as uncertainty over war outcome persists.

European stocks are expected to open higher on Tuesday as investors track geopolitical developments and prepare for a busy earnings and central bank calendar.

European markets point to modest gains

According to market data from IG, the UK’s FTSE 100 index is expected to open slightly higher.

Germany’s DAX is projected to rise by 0.23%, while France’s CAC 40 is seen gaining 0.34%.

Italy’s FTSE MIB is also expected to trade 0.3% higher.

The cautious optimism in equities comes as investors balance improving sentiment with ongoing geopolitical uncertainty.

Market participants are also preparing for a series of corporate earnings announcements that could shape near-term direction.

Earnings reports are due from major European companies including Novartis, Airbus, BP and Barclays on Tuesday.

Iran proposal in focus

Investor sentiment is being influenced by developments surrounding Iran and the ongoing conflict.

US President Donald Trump and his national security team discussed Iran’s proposal regarding the Strait of Hormuz.

White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt confirmed on Monday that the proposal involves reopening the key shipping route if the United States lifts its blockade and the war ends.

The proposal would delay negotiations on Tehran’s nuclear ambitions to a later stage.

Reports from Axios and The Associated Press earlier in the session outlined the same development.

However, uncertainty remains over whether Trump is willing to consider the proposal.

He has previously stated that the blockade would not be lifted until a deal with Iran is “100% complete,” according to Reuters.

The ongoing ambiguity has kept markets cautious.

Oil prices edged higher overnight, reflecting concerns about supply disruptions and the broader implications of the conflict.

Central banks take centre stage

Beyond geopolitics, investor attention is firmly on central banks this week.

The US Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, and Bank of England are all scheduled to announce policy decisions.

The Federal Reserve’s decision on Wednesday is being closely watched.

It could mark the final meeting chaired by Jerome Powell before Kevin Warsh is expected to take over in May.

Recent developments have also shaped expectations.

The Department of Justice dropped its criminal probe into Powell on Friday.

This prompted Senator Thom Tillis to lift his block on Warsh’s confirmation.

Meanwhile, the European Central Bank and the Bank of England are due to publish their latest monetary policy decisions on Thursday.

Economists expect both institutions to keep benchmark interest rates unchanged this month.

However, policymakers are likely to signal that future rate hikes remain possible later in the year.

The evolving geopolitical situation and its impact on inflation and growth continue to complicate the outlook.

Markets weigh risks and opportunities

Overall, European markets are navigating a complex mix of geopolitical risks, corporate earnings, and monetary policy expectations.

While equities are set for a higher open, uncertainty surrounding the Iran conflict and central bank actions is likely to keep volatility elevated in the near term.