Scottish Mortgage urcă la un nivel-cheie pe fondul catalizatorilor SpaceX și Anthropic

Sentiment IA: 78/100 Optimist
Acest scor este generat prin analiza conținutului articolului asistată de inteligență artificială.
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Cumpărați SMT. Portofoliul se redresează (SpaceX, TSMC, Nvidia, MercadoLibre) iar IPO-ul Anthropic reprezintă un catalizator direct de evaluare. SMT este deja poziționat ca un deținător cheie al Anthropic (2,8%), astfel încât un IPO care se prețuiește peste așteptări ar trebui să ridice NAV-ul și sentimentul. Analiza tehnică îl susține: SMT este peste media mobilă pe 50 de zile și presează rezistența de 1,511p; un break clar vizează ~1,562p.
Risc cheie: Prețuirea IPO-ului Anthropic să iasă mult sub așteptări (sau IPO-ul să fie amânat), cauzând o resetare a NAV/valuării care să copleșească redresarea portofoliului.
Cumpărați SMT în mod specific pentru al doilea impuls SpaceX: forța veniturilor AI ale SpaceX și creșterea abonaților Starlink conduc deja redresarea, dar teza este că încrederea în creștere va aduce în avans o re-evaluare pe piețele de capital pentru întregul coș «infrastructură AI» din cadrul SMT (expunere TSMC/Nvidia). Pe măsură ce saltul capex al SpaceX va fi perceput ca investiție, nu ca un impediment, piața va continua să premieze câștigătorii.
Risc cheie: Vârfurile capex ale SpaceX se traduc prin flux de numerar liber mai slab decât se așteaptă și piața încetează să mai considere redresarea durabilă.
- Prețul acțiunii Scottish Mortgage a urcat la cel mai ridicat nivel din iulie.
- Acțiunile SpaceX, TSMC și Nvidia au revenit.
- Catalizatorii cheie de urmărit vor fi IPO-ul Anthropic.
Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust (SMT) share price has rebounded in the past few months, moving from a low of 1,297p in July to 1,500p today. This rebound has coincided with the ongoing recovery of most of its portfolio companies and the upcoming Anthropic IPO.
Top Scottish Mortgage Trust companies are recovering
Scottish Mortgage has bounced back in the past few months as many companies in its portfolio rebounded. SpaceX, the biggest company in its portfolio, rose to $153, its highest point since July and 47% above its lowest level after the IPO. This rally has brought Elon Musk’s net worth to over $938 billion.
SpaceX has rebounded because of improving conditions, with its earnings report showing that all its businesses were doing well. Its AI business is making billions of dollars a month, while its Starlink segment has crossed 12 million active subscribers. Its main challenge is that its capital expenditures are soaring.
READ MORE: SpaceX stock could see massive buying on Nasdaq 100 rebalance: will SPCX rally?
Taiwan Semiconductor, another top company in the fund, jumped to $440 on Tuesday, reaching its highest level since July 9. It has jumped substantially because of the rising demand for semiconductors, a notable thing since it is the biggest fabricator in the world.
Nvidia has also jumped to $225 from a low of $189 as the company has evolved into the “central bank” of the artificial intelligence industry. It has invested in some of the biggest companies in the industry, including OpenAI and Anthropic.
The other top names in the Scottish Mortgage portfolio like MercadoLibre, Amazon, and TSML have also done well recently.
Scottish Mortgage to benefit from the Anthropic IPO
The other main catalyst for the SMT stock is that it has emerged as a key investor in Anthropic. Scottish Mortgage, which is managed by Bailie Gifford, invested in the company at a valuation of $183 billion. Anthropic accounts for 2.8% of the company.
The upcoming Anthropic IPO will benefit SMT because of its valuation. Estimates are that it will ask a valuation of $2 trillion, a figure that may go up substantially after that.
Anthropic has become the most advanced provider of AI models and its growth is accelerating. For example, its annualized revenue run rate has jumped to over $65 billion, much higher than that of OpenAI. It has also achieved some profitability metrics.
Separately, Scottish Mortage has a large stake in Stripe, a giant fintech company that may go public in 2027.
Scottish Mortgage stock price technical analysis

Scottish Mortgage chart | Source: TradingView
The daily chart shows that the SMT stock has rebounded in the past few weeks. It has jumped to a crucial resistance level of 1,511p, its highest level on June 17 and September 4 this year.
The stock has remained above the 50-day moving average, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has crossed the neutral level of 50. It has also moved to the Ultimate Resistance level of the Murrey Math Lines.
The path of the least resistance for the stock is upward, with the next key target being at 1,562, the extreme overshoot level. This view will be confirmed if it moves above 1,511p.

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