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USD/CAD Price Skyrockets Over $1.31 On Dovish Bank Of Canada Statement

USD/CAD Price Skyrockets Over $1.31 On Dovish Bank Of Canada Statement
Michael Harris
Jan 22, 2020, 11:08 AM
  • BoC leaves key rate unchanged at 1.75%
  • Monetary policy statement comes across as more dovish than previously anticipated, sending the loonie 100 pips higher
  • The bulls now approach key resistance area at $1.3160

The USD/CAD has burst higher today on the dovish Bank of Canada (BoC) monetary policy statement. Compared to this morning’s price, USD/CAD trades more than 100 pips higher. 

Fundamental analysis: BoC unexpectedly dovish

Bank of Canada left its key policy rate unchanged at 1.75% at its January policy meeting. However, the BoC surprised investors and analysts with a more dovish statement on monetary policy.

Analysts see the statement as dovish as the bank has opened the door for a future rate cut due to a slowdown in the Canadian economy. As stated, the economy no longer operates close to capacity, and further slowdown may make the BoC cut rates earlier than previously anticipated. 

These are three key takeaway messages from the statement that sent the loonie (USD/CAD) higher. 

Technical analysis: Approaching important resistance

This morning, the USD/CAD traded around the $1.3040 mark in a ranging session, as investors anticipated the outcome of the BoC meeting. Seconds after the announcement, the USD/CAD skyrocketed higher on more dovish policy statement. 

The initial move higher pushed the price action through the intra-day resistance of $1.3100, as well as the 200-DMA at $1.3070. The bulls are now approaching the key short-term resistance at $1.3160, where the two-year ascending trend line (the orange line) and the 100-WMA intersect. 

A break of the key resistance area would be absolutely huge for the confidence of the bulls. The next layer of resistance is located at $1.3235, should investors persist with buying the USD/CAD in the coming days. The $1.3100 handle provides short-term support for any potential pull back. 

Summary

USD/CAD has moved abruptly higher on the more-dovish-than-expected monetary policy statement. The bulls are now approaching the key resistance zone around $1.3160.