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Narendra Modi sworn in as India’s PM for third time: What coalition means for country's future?

Narendra Modi sworn in as India’s PM for third time: What coalition means for country's future?
Harsh Vardhan
Jun 09, 2024, 13:22 PM
  • Narendra Modi sworn in for a historic third term as India's PM.
  • Modi’s BJP relies on coalition partners to form the government.
  • Coalition governance may lead to a more inclusive and less authoritarian approach.

Narendra Modi has been sworn in as Prime Minister of India for a historic third term, ushering in a new era of coalition politics for India’s strongman leader.

The ceremony, which took place at the presidential palace on Sunday evening, marked Modi’s return to power, making him only the second leader in India’s history to win three consecutive terms.

Modi’s third term begins with coalition politics

A beaming Modi stood next to two Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) heavyweights, Rajnath Singh and Amit Shah, who were both confirmed to return as cabinet ministers.

As he stepped up to the podium to make his pledge to the president, Droupadi Murmu, loud cheers erupted from the vast crowds gathered to watch the ceremony.

Modi’s third term is likely to take a very different shape from his previous decade in office after his BJP faced an unexpectedly challenging election.

Coalition partners essential for majority

The party won the most seats in the polls, which took place over almost two months with the results finally announced on Tuesday, but fell short of an absolute majority.

Modi had to rely on coalition partners, notably smaller regional parties, to give the BJP enough seats to claim a parliamentary majority and form the government.

This is the first time Modi, who is used to leading from the front, has been forced to govern in a power-sharing arrangement, with coalition partners taking several cabinet and ministerial posts.

Challenges and opportunities in coalition governance

Analysts believe the BJP’s new dependence on secular coalition parties could present a challenge for Modi and may curtail some of the more authoritarian and dictatorial tendencies of his government in the past, in particular his pursuit of Hindu-first policies.

Since he came to power in 2014, Modi has reshaped the secular country with an aggressive Hindu nationalist agenda, gaining widespread support among India’s 80% Hindu majority.

However, the coalition government may necessitate a more conciliatory and inclusive approach.

Economic achievements and election setbacks

Modi’s supporters credit him with India’s economic growth and elevated standing on the world stage, but he lost swathes of votes in the election because of issues such as chronic unemployment and fears over India’s democracy.

Speaking to his coalition parties over the weekend, Modi pushed back at the opposition alliance who have claimed that the election was a defeat for the prime minister.

“We did not lose,” he said but also struck an unusually conciliatory note, adding:

Opposition gains ground

The opposition alliance, which goes by the acronym INDIA, performed far better than polls had predicted in the election and will be returning to parliament with more than 230 seats, more than double the previous election.

This strong performance by the opposition reflects the electorate's growing concerns about unemployment and the state of democracy under Modi’s government.

International and business community attendance

Heads of state from neighboring countries, including the Prime Minister of Bangladesh, Sheikh Hasina, and the Sri Lankan President, Ranil Wickremesinghe, flew in to attend Modi’s swearing-in ceremony.

Also in attendance were two of India’s richest industrialists, Gautam Adani and Mukesh Ambani, who are seen to enjoy a close relationship with Modi, and the Bollywood superstar Shah Rukh Khan.

Opposition reactions

Mallikarjun Kharge, the president of the Congress party, attended the ceremony as a representative for the INDIA opposition alliance, but all other opposition leaders snubbed it.

Mamata Banerjee, the head of the opposition Trinamool Congress party, said she would not be attending as the government was being formed “illegally and undemocratically”, adding that governments “sometimes last only for a day”.

Looking ahead

As Narendra Modi begins his third term as Prime Minister, the landscape of Indian politics is set to change significantly.

With the BJP’s reliance on coalition partners, Modi’s governance may become more inclusive and less authoritarian.

The next few years will test Modi’s ability to navigate coalition politics and address the economic and social challenges facing India.