How CATL’s addition to Chinese military-linked ntities list could impact Tesla’s battery Supply

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Written on Jan 8, 2025

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CATL supplies 4% of US EV batteries and 35% of energy storage systems as of 2023.
US lawmakers propose banning federal contracts with CATL-linked companies by 2026.
Tesla and CATL plan to expand collaborations, including a Nevada battery plant by 2025.

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The addition of Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited (CATL) to a Chinese military-linked entities list has thrust Tesla’s reliance on the Chinese battery giant into the spotlight.

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While the designation currently imposes no direct sanctions, it sends a stark warning to US companies about potential security risks in collaborating with firms tied to China’s military.

Tesla’s heavy dependence on CATL for its battery supply raises questions about the electric vehicle giant’s balancing act between US geopolitical pressures and its strategic interests in China.

Tesla’s dependency on CATL

Tesla sources lithium iron phosphate (LFP) batteries from CATL, primarily for its Shanghai factory, which serves as a key hub for its exports to Europe and Canada.

CATL also plays a pivotal role in Tesla’s energy storage systems, such as the Megapack, with plans for further collaboration, including licensing CATL’s battery technology for a production facility in Nevada by 2025.

This reliance on CATL makes Tesla vulnerable to shifts in US-China relations. Although CATL’s designation on the Pentagon’s Chinese Military Companies list does not currently restrict business, it complicates Tesla’s position.

Lawmakers have criticised CATL’s energy storage projects in the US, raising concerns over national security.

Such pressures may escalate, potentially influencing the viability of Tesla’s ongoing and future partnerships.

Geopolitics collides with Tesla’s ambitions

The designation arrives as CATL seeks to expand its footprint in the US market, which accounted for 4% of its EV batteries and 35% of its energy storage systems in 2023. However, this expansion is now under threat.

Recent measures in the US defence budget propose bans on federal contracts with companies on the military-linked list by 2026. Entities like Duke Energy have already begun phasing out CATL products under political pressure.

For Tesla, the stakes are high. Navigating these geopolitical tensions is critical, especially as it works to scale production and meet the growing demand for EVs and energy storage solutions.

However, cutting ties with CATL could risk destabilising Tesla’s supply chain, given CATL’s strong position in the global battery market and its ties to the Chinese government.

Tesla’s fragile balancing act

Tesla’s ability to sustain its relationship with CATL amid rising scrutiny will likely hinge on geopolitical developments and the US administration’s approach to Chinese investments.

Some analysts speculate that Tesla boss Elon Musk’s close ties with key US policymakers, including incoming President Donald Trump, might provide temporary relief from potential restrictions.

CATL, meanwhile, has defended its position, denying involvement in military activities and likening its strategic importance in the battery sector to Huawei’s role in telecommunications.

Despite these assertions, the company faces reputational damage and mounting challenges in its pursuit of US market opportunities.