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Dow futures plunge 370 points: 5 things to know before market opens

Dow futures plunge 370 points: 5 things to know before market opens
Devesh Kumar
May 18, 2026, 06:56 AM

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Buy Dominion Energy (D)

Takeover speculation is the catalyst: Dominion is trading on credible NextEra-linked deal talk, which can re-rate the stock quickly via a takeover premium and deal-spread momentum. If the market stays risk-off on yields/oil, utilities can also look relatively steadier than long-duration growth. Key risk: deal talks break or NextEra walks away, collapsing the premium and sending D back to fundamentals.

Key Risk: Takeover talks fail and the stock loses the takeover premium.

Sell UnitedHealth (UNH)

Berkshire trimmed/exited its stake is a direct negative signal to sentiment and can pressure UNH further in a week where rates and oil are already hurting risk appetite. With the market focused on resilience (Walmart) and policy tone (Fed minutes), UNH can lag if investors rotate toward cheaper, more defensive earnings. Key risk: UNH delivers a strong earnings/forward outlook that overrides the Berkshire signal and re-anchors confidence.

Key Risk: UNH’s results/forward guidance are strong enough to negate the Berkshire exit signal.

  • Dow futures slide 373 points as yields and oil prices climb.
  • Fed minutes may shape expectations for US interest rates.
  • Nvidia and Walmart earnings set to test market resilience.

US stock index futures fell on Monday as rising Treasury yields and oil prices renewed pressure on equities and revived concern that borrowing costs may stay elevated for longer.

Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 373 points, or 0.8%, while contracts linked to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 slipped 0.4% and 0.3%.

Investors are watching this week’s Federal Reserve minutes for clues on the policy path, while earnings from Nvidia and Walmart will test whether corporate results can offset a less friendly rates backdrop.

Pre-market moves were mixed, with Dominion Energy rallying on takeover speculation and UnitedHealth slipping after Berkshire Hathaway disclosed a trimmed stake.

Traders are also weighing whether inflation and energy shocks could keep bond yields near recent highs across markets.

5 things to know before market opens

1. Higher yields and firmer oil are weighing on sentiment.

US stock futures came under pressure as Treasury yields pushed higher and crude added to inflation worries.

The combination has revived the old market trade-off: stronger energy prices can support certain sectors, but they also keep borrowing costs elevated and make equity valuations harder to justify, especially in growth stocks.

2. Fed minutes will be watched for any shift in policy tone.

The minutes from the Federal Reserve’s latest meeting, due on Wednesday, are likely to shape expectations around the central bank’s next steps.

Traders will be looking for signs of whether policymakers are leaning towards a more neutral stance or retaining an easing bias as inflation risks remain sticky.

3. Nvidia and Walmart are the week’s biggest earnings tests.

Nvidia is due to report first-quarter results on Wednesday, while Walmart’s numbers will offer another read on consumer demand.

Both are closely watched because they speak to two very different parts of the market: artificial intelligence spending on one side, and household resilience on the other.

4. Premarket movers are being driven by deal talk and holdings news.

Dominion Energy rose after Bloomberg News reported takeover discussions involving NextEra Energy, lifting the utility on hopes of a large transaction.

UnitedHealth Group fell in premarket trading after filings showed Berkshire Hathaway had exited its stake in the health insurer, adding to cautious sentiment at the market open.

5. The bigger question is whether markets can absorb tighter conditions.

Investors are trying to judge how much higher yields and oil prices can rise before the damage spreads further beyond bonds.

If borrowing costs remain elevated, pressure could build on technology, other long-duration growth names and companies carrying heavy debt loads.

That makes the coming week an important test of market resilience.