European clean energy stocks plunge as Trump election victory raises climate policy concerns

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Written on Nov 6, 2024
Reading time 3 minutes
  • Trump has promised to sign an executive order halting offshore wind projects.
  • Orsted, the world’s largest offshore wind developer, saw its shares plummet by 10%.
  • Wind turbine manufacturers Vestas and Nordex also reported stock drops of 8% and 6%, respectively.

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European clean energy stocks plunged on Wednesday following Donald Trump’s election victory, as investors brace for potential rollbacks on US climate and renewable energy policies.

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With Trump’s campaign pledging to dismantle climate initiatives, market sentiment has soured, reflecting fears of policy reversals that could impact the global renewable energy sector.

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Investor anxieties center on the prospect that the US government might reverse commitments made during President Joe Biden’s administration, including participation in the Paris Agreement and support for clean energy initiatives.

Trump had promised to sign an executive order halting offshore wind projects on his first day in office and has indicated he may undo the Inflation Reduction Act, which offers substantial subsidies for clean energy technology.

Sharp declines for leading clean energy companies

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In reaction to the election outcome, major European clean energy companies saw significant declines.

According to a Reuters report, Orsted, the world’s largest offshore wind developer, saw its shares plummet by 10% by 11:33 GMT.

Wind turbine manufacturers Vestas and Nordex also reported stock drops of 8% and 6%, respectively, as concerns over the future of US renewable energy investments triggered a widespread sell-off.

“The key message is that uncertainty is back,” commented Alphavalue analyst Pierre-Alexandre Ramondenc to Reuters, summarizing investor concerns about the future of clean energy commitments in the US.

The US renewable energy sector represents a critical growth opportunity for European utility companies such as Portugal’s EDP Renovaveis, Orsted, and Germany’s RWE.

Deutsche Bank analysts pointed out that although a full repeal of the Inflation Reduction Act would require congressional support, substantial adjustments to the policy are anticipated.

Such changes could disrupt future projects, particularly offshore wind developments that might not be completed until 2029 or later.

Deutsche Bank noted that while ongoing projects are expected to continue, delays could be on the horizon for new ventures due to Trump’s policy shifts.

Despite the uncertainty, companies like Vestas and Orsted had remained optimistic in the lead-up to the election, citing strong US demand for green energy.

Nordex echoed this positive outlook for the US onshore wind sector but acknowledged that client decision-making might be delayed in response to the evolving policy landscape.

Following the stock plunge, RWE shares dropped 3.4%, while EDP Renovaveis declined by 7.7%.

Vestas, Orsted, and EDP were among the worst performers on the pan-European STOXX 600 index, underscoring the wider impact of the US election on Europe’s renewable energy stocks.

As Trump prepares to take office, the trajectory of renewable energy in the US and Europe faces significant headwinds.

Investors are preparing for potential policy shifts that could reshape the renewable energy landscape, making this a pivotal moment for industry stakeholders.

While obstacles may lie ahead, demand for clean energy remains a powerful driver, compelling leaders in the sector to navigate these changes carefully.

The coming months will reveal whether Trump’s policies will fundamentally alter the global clean energy outlook or if investor confidence can weather this new era of uncertainty.

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