This real estate stock got a double upgrade from BofA today

on Jan 9, 2023
  • Bank of America analyst sees upside in Zillow to $42 a share.
  • Curtis Nagle defended his bullish view in a note to clients.
  • Zillow stock has gained roughly 40% over the past two weeks.

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Zillow Group Inc (NASDAQ: ZG) is trading up on Monday after a Bank of America analyst issued a bullish note in favour of the tech-powered real estate marketplace.

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The bull case for Zillow stock

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Curtis Nagle double-upgraded the Zillow stock this morning to “buy” and said shares could climb to $42. That represents about a 20% upside versus its previous close.

The analyst is constructive primarily because he expects the U.S. housing market to claw its way back into growth next year.

While real estate fundamentals remain very challenged given the macroeconomic environment and rates pressure, market may trough in early 2023 and growth can return to double-digits in 2023 on improving affordability.

The Nasdaq-listed firm will report its Q4 results next months. Consensus is for it to lose 29 cents a share versus the year-ago 74 cents a share.

Why else does he like Zillow stock

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According to Curtis Nagle, recent initiatives including ShowingTime and 3D virtual tours will help reaccelerate growth as well.

He also expects home volume trends to improve by mid-2023 – an optimism based on moderating declines in mortgage purchase applications since October. Further defending his bullish view on the tech stock, the analyst wrote:

We forecast that home transactions will accelerate to 10% in 2024 (+11% for Zillow revenues) on lower home prices and mortgage rates as well as some mean reversion as volumes are 24% below the historical average.

Nagle is convinced that the Seattle-headquartered firm could almost double its adjusted EBITDA from 2023 to 2025. Zillow stock has gained more than 20% over the past two weeks.


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